A Colectta Institute poll published this Saturday, 24, on the eve of the runoff, shows Lula with 50.3% of valid votes against 49.7% for Flávio Bolsonaro, a statistical tie, according to Carta Capital.

The survey is based on 3,000 in-person interviews conducted on Friday, 23, in 101 municipalities across the 27 federal units, with a margin of error of two percentage points and a 95% confidence level. Among total votes, Lula has 46.5% against 46% for Flávio; 4.4% said blank or null and 3.1% did not know or did not answer.