The CNT/MDA poll released on Saturday, the eve of the runoff, shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 50.7% of valid votes against 49.3% for Lula, a technical tie.

In total votes, Flávio has 46.3% and Lula 45%. The survey interviewed 2,032 voters between October 21 and 23, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points and registration BR-02136/2026 at the Superior Electoral Court (TSE).