https://sagire.online/topic/latin-america/ Rolling analysis and coverage of geopolitics, energy, security and supply chains. en Thu, 05 Nov 2026 02:48:00 -0300 https://sagire.online/venezuela-sofa-presenca-militar/https://sagire.online/venezuela-sofa-presenca-militar/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 21:55:00 -0300Ten months after the night-time assault that removed Nicolás Maduro, the State Department negotiates with Delcy Rodríguez a status of forces agreement that would give United States troops a legal basis to remain. The scope is deliberately narrow, and the contract is what would make the occupation survive the government that began it.VenezuelaUnited StatesLatin AmericaOil https://sagire.online/chile-rabat-acusacao-adiada/https://sagire.online/chile-rabat-acusacao-adiada/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 21:54:00 -0300The opposition promised a constitutional accusation against Justice Minister Fernando Rabat over 56 commutations of sentence for sexual crimes against minors, and did not file it in the week its own calendar had set. The votes are the reason: 78 are needed, 62 are counted, and 14 deputies of the Partido de la Gente hold the difference.ChileLatin AmericaJustice https://sagire.online/wire/05399389/https://sagire.online/wire/05399389/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 19:23:00 -0300The president of Cuba's National Institute of Hydraulic Resources, Antonio Rodríguez, said that interruptions in water networks affect 2,681,770 residents, 66% of them for electrical reasons and 25% because of broken pumping equipment, according to the EFE agency, in a text republished by the Paraguayan outlet ABC Color. President Miguel Díaz-Canel called the water supply problem “grave and complex” and said that large-scale investments to solve it require time, while immediate difficulties are being addressed. The worst-affected provinces are Havana, with about 536,000 residents facing supply problems, and Santiago de Cuba, Holguín, Matanzas, Artemisa and Pinar, with about 200,000 each. Díaz-Canel attributed the problem to objective causes — the US blockade, the energy crisis, aging networks — and also to the “negligence, indolence and lack of coordination” of the authorities.CubaLatin AmericaCritical infrastructure https://sagire.online/wire/a82b3a18/https://sagire.online/wire/a82b3a18/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 13:22:00 -0300The Central Bank of Paraguay ordered the intervention of Ueno Bank after finding a solvency ratio below 50% of the required minimum, following adjustments to its balance sheets during the regularization process. President Santiago Peña asked for the resignation of Central Bank president Carlos Carvallo and agreed with the heads of both chambers of Congress on a bill authorizing the use of the Guarantee Fund to start immediate payment to savers, including public funds and the IPS. Peña was a business partner of the bank until March 2025 and gave up his shares after criticism over a conflict of interest; the institution, linked to former business partners of the president, held hundreds of millions of dollars in public resources, including investments from Paraguay's social security system. On Wednesday, lawmakers began collecting signatures to file an impeachment request against Peña and Vice President Pedro Alliana. On Tuesday night, account holders and retirees protested outside the National Congress and the presidential residence, demanding the return of the blocked money and that authorities be held accountable.ParaguayPolitical crisisLatin AmericaProtests https://sagire.online/wire/c374bfb6/https://sagire.online/wire/c374bfb6/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 10:21:00 -0300A strike against alleged members of the National Liberation Army (ELN) in Venezuela’s Apure state, near the Colombian border, had US intelligence and drone support, according to four US officials quoted by the New York Times. The operation took place last Friday, and a senior Venezuelan military officer confirmed the attack. Fundaredes, the first organization to raise the alarm, counted 23 dead and an undetermined number of wounded in the bombing of an ELN base used as a cocaine distribution center, based on testimony from survivors and local residents that the Times collected. Local reporters with Alianza Rebelde Investiga identified eight of the dead — including two Colombians and four Mexicans — using information from the morgue, the hospital and the San Fernando de Apure cemetery. Venezuelan authorities counted 19 dead in the operation so far, a lower toll than Fundaredes’. The attack came after the United States forcibly removed Nicolás Maduro and Venezuela’s government came under the control of an administration aligned with Donald Trump, according to Infobae, in a New York Times text.VenezuelaUnited StatesDrug traffickingDronesLatin America https://sagire.online/wire/48de5ff1/https://sagire.online/wire/48de5ff1/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 01:23:00 -0300Paraguay’s central bank board voted unanimously on Monday to put Ueno Bank into resolution, after its solvency ratio fell below half the legal minimum; the bank says it has about 3 million customers and manages $800 million to $850 million in public money, including about $380 million from the state pension and health fund; prosecutors sought the arrest of eight people, including President Juan Manuel Gustale and chief executive Federico Miguel Vázquez Villasanti; and President Santiago Peña canceled a trip to a summit in Spain, asked central bank chief Carlos Carvallo to resign, and promised to fast-track depositor repayment legislation. Peña’s party vice president Rodolfo Friedmann called for the president’s expulsion, while Senate President Basilio Núñez defended him and blamed the central bank.ParaguayLatin AmericaPolitical crisis https://sagire.online/wire/0fe78903/https://sagire.online/wire/0fe78903/Tue, 03 Nov 2026 20:22:00 -0300Peru’s government declared a 60-day state of emergency in 1,380 districts out of more than 1,800, over imminent danger from heavy rainfall linked to the El Niño phenomenon. The measure was formalized by Supreme Decree 149-2026-PCM and covers 25 departments and the Constitutional Province of Callao. The National Emergency Operations Center recorded 324 affected people and 110 uninhabitable homes after weekend rains in Tumbes. The technical commission ENFEN said the event will be of extraordinary magnitude through February and weaken through June.PeruLatin AmericaClimate https://sagire.online/wire/ed1ddbb9/https://sagire.online/wire/ed1ddbb9/Tue, 03 Nov 2026 18:23:00 -0300The administration of Donald Trump is negotiating an agreement with Venezuela that would allow a long-term US military presence in the country, according to The New York Times, in a TASS report. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is leading efforts to conclude the military pact, a status of forces agreement (SOFA), and details on the long-term presence and the locations where troops will be stationed will be left to subsequent agreements. The newspaper does not say whether the United States intends to build and maintain its own bases in the country or to station troops at existing Venezuelan bases. An unnamed State Department official said Washington hopes to expand security cooperation with Venezuela and that no discussions regarding bases are currently taking place.VenezuelaUnited StatesLatin AmericaDefenseDiplomacy https://sagire.online/wire/be47ff5f/https://sagire.online/wire/be47ff5f/Tue, 03 Nov 2026 07:22:00 -0300A Criteria poll found 25% approval and 65% disapproval for José Antonio Kast's government, his worst figures since taking office. The previous measurement, on October 25, showed 27% approval and 64% disapproval, until then his lowest levels, and the gap between approval and disapproval reached 40 points.ChileLatin America https://sagire.online/wire/e4fd8214/https://sagire.online/wire/e4fd8214/Tue, 03 Nov 2026 02:23:00 -0300About 32,300 companies, equivalent to 6% of all firms in the country, closed in Argentina between December 2023 and July 2026, according to a survey by the Fundar research center. Industrial output fell 3.2% in August from the same month in 2025, according to the national statistics institute (Indec). Economists say the country probably entered a technical recession in the third quarter of 2026, after two consecutive quarters of contracting activity.ArgentinaEconomyLatin America https://sagire.online/wire/a3094f4e/https://sagire.online/wire/a3094f4e/Mon, 02 Nov 2026 22:21:00 -0300United States Secretary of State Marco Rubio met Venezuelan Foreign Minister Oliver Blanco in Washington on Monday to discuss the country’s political future, nearly a year after US forces seized former Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro in Caracas. The State Department reaffirmed Donald Trump’s three-phase plan for Venezuela — stabilization, economic recovery and political reconciliation, and democratic transition.VenezuelaUnited StatesLatin AmericaDiplomacy https://sagire.online/wire/3e4d975a/https://sagire.online/wire/3e4d975a/Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:21:00 -0300Secretary of State Marco Rubio received Venezuela's foreign minister, Oliver Blanco, in Washington on Monday in the first meeting between the two countries' top diplomats since the US military attack on the South American country on January 3. The meeting took place two weeks after Venezuelan authorities and the opposition agreed on a blueprint to reform the country's electoral process that would allow free and fair elections at some point in 2027, and the Trump administration has stepped up pressure on the interim government and opposition groups to move quickly on election preparations.VenezuelaUnited StatesDiplomacyElectionsLatin America https://sagire.online/wire/340733e6/https://sagire.online/wire/340733e6/Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:21:00 -0300An attack on a military base in southern Colombia killed four civilians, including a two-month-old baby, President Abelardo de la Espriella said on Monday. The preliminary toll from the attack in Planadas counted four dead, including the child.ColombiaConflictLatin America https://sagire.online/wire/22b3fe7c/https://sagire.online/wire/22b3fe7c/Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:21:00 -0300Detained in the United States since January 3, 2026, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro sent a message to the Venezuelan people on Sunday, November 1, asking for prayers. “Pray for us and know that Cilia and I are with you every step of the way,” the text says, closing with embraces and blessings for families in Venezuela and elsewhere.VenezuelaLatin AmericaHuman rights https://sagire.online/wire/73e2b369/https://sagire.online/wire/73e2b369/Sun, 01 Nov 2026 21:22:00 -0300According to G1, Argentina’s migration system recorded three entries by Flávio Bolsonaro in the same van — at 10:37 p.m. with an Italian passport, at 10:40 p.m. with a driver’s license and at 11:11 p.m. with a Brazilian passport. The senator had left Brazil after the Supreme Federal Court (STF) ordered him to surrender his passports to the Federal Police (PF); in the other van were the driver, lawyer Roberto Jorge Alexandre and Israeli national Menachem Booky Halevy, described as a former Israeli intelligence officer.BrazilLatin AmericaPolitical crisis