https://sagire.online/topic/elections/ Rolling analysis and coverage of geopolitics, energy, security and supply chains. en Thu, 05 Nov 2026 01:35:00 -0300 https://sagire.online/wire/30586600/https://sagire.online/wire/30586600/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 23:24:00 -0300Progressive candidate Abdul El-Sayed defeated Republican Mike Rogers in the race for Michigan’s open Senate seat, a breakthrough victory for the Democratic Party’s left wing in one of the country’s most important swing states. The son of Egyptian immigrants, he will become the first Muslim to hold a seat in the US Senate. The American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) spent nearly US$ 30 million opposing him, its largest investment in a single race. The campaign was built around universal health care, removing private money from elections and sharp criticism of Israel. El-Sayed, 42, overcame a wave of Islamophobia fomented by Trump and others.United StatesElectionsIsrael https://sagire.online/wire/1e5d88e0/https://sagire.online/wire/1e5d88e0/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 23:24:00 -0300Four election deniers lost their gubernatorial races on Tuesday: Andy Biggs in Arizona, John James in Michigan, Stacy Garrity in Pennsylvania and Tom Tiffany in Wisconsin. Biggs conceded to Governor Katie Hobbs without mentioning voter fraud or election rigging. Almost all election deniers in pivotal races lost, and none of them, nor the network of activists and groups backing them, raised any questions about the results.United StatesElections https://sagire.online/wire/70fd0419/https://sagire.online/wire/70fd0419/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 23:23:00 -0300Donald Trump Jr. backed Vice President JD Vance’s assessment that the Republican midterm defeat is down to the war with Iran, throwing the spotlight on divisions within the president’s own camp. Vance wrote on X: “The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.” Trump acknowledged that it is “largely true” that Iran and the high fuel prices driven by the conflict led to the defeat, and maintained that he would “do it again,” according to AFP, in a text published by Al Arabiya.United StatesElectionsPolitical crisisIran https://sagire.online/wire/8ee6611e/https://sagire.online/wire/8ee6611e/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 22:22:00 -0300The Latino vote shift that helped elect Trump in 2024 now stands as a central part of the Republican defeat, driven by complaints over prices and the immigration crackdown. Latinos voted en masse for Democrats in Tuesday’s elections, from Texas to California, according to AFP. An NBC exit poll cited by the agency put the Democratic victory at about 30 percentage points among Latino voters. The agency attributes the shift to unfulfilled pledges of lower prices and an aggressive immigration crackdown affecting Latinos themselves.United StatesElectionsMigration https://sagire.online/wire/315f751d/https://sagire.online/wire/315f751d/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 22:22:00 -0300The Democratic majority in Congress will now control trade committees and be able to investigate tariff policy, but repealing tariffs runs into Trump’s veto power. With at least 235 seats, according to Reuters projections, Democrats will hold trade committee chairs and have an easier time passing trade legislation. Democrats want to rescind old laws Trump used to impose tariffs, such as Section 338 of the 1930 Tariff Act, applied to Canadian imports. For Blake Harden of Ernst & Young, the congressional swing is “very unlikely” to have a significant impact on the president’s trade agenda and the tariffs in place — Trump will continue to pursue his tariff-driven trade agenda protecting workers, farmers and businesses, White House spokesman Matthew Middleton said.United StatesTradeElections https://sagire.online/wire/906aab68/https://sagire.online/wire/906aab68/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 22:21:00 -0300Tuesday’s vote turned AI data centers into a local-ballot issue: 44 communities voted to restrict data centers and just one voted to allow construction, across 45 decided measures. Twenty-one of the measures were in towns and cities in Ohio alone; the next state with the most measures was Maine, with eight. The measures included outright prohibitions, temporary moratoriums, limitations on energy use, mandating voter approval before construction and advisory measures — by late Tuesday evening, 33 restriction measures had passed or were leading in ongoing counts, according to the Data Centers on the Ballot tracking site.United StatesData centersElections https://sagire.online/wire/f95b8f7a/https://sagire.online/wire/f95b8f7a/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 22:20:00 -0300Israeli President Isaac Herzog accepted the certified results of last week’s parliamentary elections and began consultations with party leaders on whom to task with forming the next government. “Now is the time to face reality,” Herzog said. Eight parties, including the two Arab-led factions, are scheduled to meet Herzog on Thursday, with Eisenkot’s Yashar and Netanyahu’s Likud speaking last — after the consultations, Herzog will choose the candidate he believes is most likely to be able to form a coalition, most likely Netanyahu or Eisenkot, and has several days to announce his decision.IsraelElections https://sagire.online/midterms-democrats-both-houses-veto/https://sagire.online/midterms-democrats-both-houses-veto/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 21:56:00 -0300Voters who rated the economy poor, called the Iran war the wrong decision and saw corruption in government handed Democrats seven Senate seats, the House and the governorships of Texas, Georgia and Ohio. The size of the win can be counted; how much of it becomes law depends on a president who keeps the veto and has said he would fight the war again.United StatesElectionsCongressIranEconomy https://sagire.online/wire/d942aceb/https://sagire.online/wire/d942aceb/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 21:21:00 -0300Republicans lost the midterm elections because of the war with Iran, United States Vice President JD Vance said. According to Vance, many of those who voted for Trump and Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026, demanding an end to the war, a focus on the cost of living, priority to the United States and a change in the relationship with Israel. Voter frustration over the war and the relationship with Israel sealed the defeat, in a distancing from Donald Trump — who acknowledged the weight of gasoline prices but defended the decision to start the conflict — ahead of a possible 2028 White House bid.United StatesIranIsraelElections https://sagire.online/wire/803258c4/https://sagire.online/wire/803258c4/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 19:24:00 -0300In an interview with German television ZDF, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said he hoped Democratic gains in the midterm elections would generate more help for Kyiv in its 4-1/2-year-long war with Russia, according to Reuters, in a text published by the Jerusalem Post. Zelensky said he was grateful to Republicans but that Democrats speak “very clearly” about supporting Ukraine and renewing the connection between the United States and Europe. “I am also grateful to the Republicans, but the Democrats speak very clearly about supporting Ukraine and providing assistance to Ukraine,” he said in comments provided in German by ZDF before the interview was broadcast. “They speak about renewing the connection between the United States and Europe... Therefore, there is hope that a balance of power will emerge and that we will receive more support.” He also said that a Congress approving strong financial support or military assistance would have an impact on Putin.UkraineUnited StatesEastern EuropeDefenseElections https://sagire.online/wire/0a8cb3da/https://sagire.online/wire/0a8cb3da/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 19:22:00 -0300Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, said the Islamic Republic has inflicted defeats on Donald Trump on the battlefield, in Hormuz and now a “political defeat” in Washington. “The Iranian nation handed Trump a strategic defeat on the battlefield and in Hormuz — and a political defeat in Washington. Meanwhile, Americans got stuck with the bill for his war,” he wrote in a post on X. “Anyone who takes on Iran will pay the price, from the battlefield to their own doorstep,” he added. After the Republican midterm defeat, a giant banner depicting Trump, Vice President JD Vance and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was burned at a rally in Tehran.IranElectionsUnited States https://sagire.online/wire/cfa3e2ef/https://sagire.online/wire/cfa3e2ef/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 19:21:00 -0300President Donald Trump said it is “largely true” that the war with Iran cost the Republicans the midterm elections, pointing to the short-term rise in gasoline prices, and said he would do it again because “you can't let Iran have a nuclear weapon,” in remarks cited by the ANI agency. The same day, Vice President JD Vance wrote on X that “the reason we lost is the war” and that voter anger over the conflict drove former Trump supporters to back Democrats. Trump also said the main reason was the price of fuel, with “tremendous oil” flowing out of the Strait of Hormuz at the moment. He said he was prepared to work with Democrats after their midterm gains, while warning that he would veto legislation he opposed, and dismissed the possibility of an impeachment effort, saying it would damage Democrats. He also said his personal popularity did not transfer to Republican candidates and that, if he had been on the ballot, Republicans would have won. “If I were on the ballot, we would have won... But you couldn't just transfer that love. There was such love at those rallies; it was incredible. We weren't able to transfer that love to the candidates,” he said.United StatesElectionsIranOil https://sagire.online/wire/be0518d0/https://sagire.online/wire/be0518d0/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 18:24:00 -0300A record number of candidates for federal offices backed by or affiliated with the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) won in Tuesday’s midterm elections, the most successful night the left-leaning movement has had in national politics so far. Chanpreet Singh, a member of the DSA’s national electoral commission, said these are numbers not seen in over a hundred years of socialist electoral activity. In Michigan, DSA member Rashida Tlaib was re-elected to the US House, member Donavan McKinney was elected to the body for the first time and William Lawrence defeated a Republican candidate in a highly competitive race. Angela Gonzales-Torres defeated a Democratic incumbent for a seat in the US House. The movement says it has more than 120,000 members, with chapters across all 50 states.United StatesElections https://sagire.online/wire/7a40068b/https://sagire.online/wire/7a40068b/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 18:24:00 -0300Elon Musk, the single biggest campaign donor in the election cycle, poured over $440 million into Republican candidates and causes, but his preferred candidates lost races in Texas, where he has put down roots. Shares of Tesla and SpaceX dropped after the Democratic Party swept to power in the US midterm elections.United StatesElectionsEconomy https://sagire.online/wire/1a7cde11/https://sagire.online/wire/1a7cde11/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 18:24:00 -0300South Africans voted on Wednesday in local elections that will decide who leads the country’s eight main city municipalities as well as its 44 district and 205 local councils, a contest expected to be a tough test for the African National Congress (ANC). A record 29.2 million people are registered to vote at 23,696 voting stations, according to the Electoral Commission of South Africa, and more than 1.4 million special votes were cast on Monday and Tuesday. Polls showed the ANC getting less than a third of the vote, down from 45.6% at the last municipal elections, in 2021, and 40.2% in 2024’s national elections. In total, 546 political parties were vying for votes, and final results are expected on Sunday. The outcome is expected to shape the race to succeed Cyril Ramaphosa as ANC leader at the party’s conference in December 2027.South AfricaElectionsAfrica