https://sagire.online/topic/deterrence/ Rolling analysis and coverage of geopolitics, energy, security and supply chains. en Thu, 05 Nov 2026 02:48:00 -0300 https://sagire.online/wire/3dab014d/https://sagire.online/wire/3dab014d/Wed, 04 Nov 2026 14:22:00 -0300Japanese Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi on Tuesday again called for discussions on reviewing the country’s Three Non-Nuclear Principles and expressed support for considering the introduction of nuclear-powered submarines, Kyodo News reported. Speaking at a seminar in Tokyo, Koizumi said an environment should be created in which necessary security policies can be discussed openly and frankly without prejudice, and that as Japan revises its three key security documents by the end of the year, society as a whole should develop a shared understanding of nuclear threats. The Three Non-Nuclear Principles stipulate that the country will not possess, produce or permit the introduction of nuclear weapons, and the current National Security Strategy explicitly states that the policy will remain unchanged. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi told parliament in October that her government would “deepen concrete and realistic considerations” regarding the potential introduction of nuclear-powered submarines for the Self-Defense Forces.JapanNuclearDefenseDeterrence https://sagire.online/wire/48455f22/https://sagire.online/wire/48455f22/Tue, 03 Nov 2026 06:23:00 -0300A People's Liberation Army (PLA) air defence unit intercepted two new types of missile simultaneously during a drill for the first time, including one that made a sudden change of direction in flight, according to Chinese state television. The system used was the HQ-9B, of the Central Theater Command Air Force's “Shenwei Missile Battalion”, according to CCTV; the targets included ballistic missiles and one missile that suddenly changed direction during flight.ChinaDefenseDeterrence https://sagire.online/wire/0a9ab8f0/https://sagire.online/wire/0a9ab8f0/Tue, 03 Nov 2026 00:22:00 -0300Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei ordered the armed forces on Saturday to give an “immediate, effective and with no geographic limits” response to any threat from the United States and Israel, according to the EFE news agency, in a text republished by swissinfo.ch.IranIsraelUnited StatesDeterrence https://sagire.online/wire/2cc3f54c/https://sagire.online/wire/2cc3f54c/Mon, 02 Nov 2026 21:21:00 -0300North Korea tested on November 2 a dispersal warhead for a strategic cruise missile, according to state media. The KCNA claimed the middle-sized dispersal warhead can turn a target area of 5 to 6 hectares into ashes, in a November 2 launch that came a day after the cluster-bomb warhead test, amid rising tension with Seoul after a landmine blast wounded three South Korean soldiers at the border.North KoreaSouth KoreaDeterrence https://sagire.online/wire/51871f42/https://sagire.online/wire/51871f42/Mon, 02 Nov 2026 02:21:00 -0300The chairman of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, Ebrahim Azizi, warned the US of a devastating response from the Armed Forces if Iran is attacked.IranUnited StatesDeterrence https://sagire.online/wire/e6f9a436/https://sagire.online/wire/e6f9a436/Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:21:00 -0300Brigadier General Hossein Mohebbi, spokesperson for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), said that identifying new targets and planning operations across additional geographical areas had been placed on the Corps’ agenda, according to the Tehran Times. Iran warned that any renewed war with the United States could last longer than the previous round of fighting, after President Donald Trump said he still had to “take care” of more targets, according to Middle East Eye.IranUnited StatesDeterrenceConflictMiddle East https://sagire.online/wire/da04e7bd/https://sagire.online/wire/da04e7bd/Sun, 01 Nov 2026 12:22:00 -0300A senior adviser to the Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Mohammad Mokhber, said in a post on X on Sunday that Iran is “rapidly” changing its defense doctrine and will no longer limit its retaliation to attacks on the aggressors’ regional assets, according to Mehr News. “The geography of the threat no longer determines the geography of the response,” he wrote in Farsi. Mehr News also reported that on Saturday Ayatollah Khamenei directed the country’s top military brass to prepare to deliver a swift and powerful response to any threat, “without any geographic limitations.”IranDeterrenceConflictMiddle East https://sagire.online/wire/0300b6a6/https://sagire.online/wire/0300b6a6/Sun, 01 Nov 2026 09:22:00 -0300North Korea’s Missile Administration tested on Saturday a cluster-bomb warhead for tactical ballistic missiles, assessing the warhead’s combat adaptability and power, according to the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA). Research institutes under the administration said the Standard Type 2 cluster-bomb warhead is capable of turning into ashes a target area of 12 to 13 hectares with its highest-density power, according to KCNA. South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff said on Sunday that the missile was fired toward the Yellow Sea from an area around the northwestern county of Chongju, and that, under information sharing with the United States, it tracked relevant activities before the launch and maintained a readiness posture.North KoreaSouth KoreaUnited StatesDefenseDeterrence https://sagire.online/wire/810b1881/https://sagire.online/wire/810b1881/Sun, 01 Nov 2026 06:21:00 -0300Iranian Defense Minister Mehrdad Akhlaghi said the country is committed to strengthening combat readiness and to ensuring an immediate, effective and proportionate response to any threat, anywhere, without geographical limits. The secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, Mohsen Rezaei, warned that any attack on Iran will be met with devastating strikes, using new and modern weapons, and said Tehran remains open to diplomacy if its seven conditions are fulfilled.IranDefenseDeterrenceMiddle East https://sagire.online/wire/35aa9151/https://sagire.online/wire/35aa9151/Sun, 01 Nov 2026 01:22:00 -0300The cluster warhead North Korea tested on Saturday for its tactical ballistic missile can devastate an area of 12 to 13 hectares (29 to 32 acres) with what research institutes described as ultra-high density, according to TRT World. The standard Type-2 warhead was assessed in a test conducted by the Missile Administration to examine how effectively it could be used in combat and the extent of damage it could inflict, the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) reported.North KoreaDeterrenceEast Asia https://sagire.online/wire/c82c575c/https://sagire.online/wire/c82c575c/Sat, 31 Oct 2026 21:22:00 -0300The United States Central Command (Centcom) said that as of October 31 its forces had redirected 144 commercial vessels to ensure compliance with the naval blockade against Iran. In a post on X, Centcom said the vessels were redirected “to ensure compliance” and that the George Washington aircraft carrier was supporting enforcement of the blockade, according to Middle East Eye.United StatesIranStrait of HormuzConflictDeterrenceMaritime borders https://sagire.online/wire/88717cd7/https://sagire.online/wire/88717cd7/Sat, 31 Oct 2026 21:22:00 -0300US President Donald Trump spoke by phone with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Saturday, after discussing with military commanders options for restarting major combat operations, according to The Wall Street Journal, in a Jerusalem Post report. In Atlanta, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Trump has not made a decision about fresh strikes on Iran, amid stalled peace talks.United StatesIsraelIranMiddle EastDeterrenceDiplomacy https://sagire.online/wire/65e2020c/https://sagire.online/wire/65e2020c/Sat, 31 Oct 2026 20:22:00 -0300North Korea’s Missile Administration tested on Oct 31 a cluster-bomb warhead intended for tactical ballistic missiles, according to the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA). The test assessed the warhead’s adaptation to combat and its power. The agency said the Standard Type 2 warhead can turn a target area of 12 to 13 hectares into ashes with its highest-density power. Analysts quoted by Reuters said the tests could be part of efforts to modernize the military, which gained experience in modern warfare by sending troops to the war in Ukraine alongside Russia, according to Reuters, in a report republished by the Straits Times.North KoreaDeterrenceDefenseEast Asia https://sagire.online/primeira-cadeia-dois-ensaios/https://sagire.online/primeira-cadeia-dois-ensaios/Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:22:00 -0300Three Chinese theater commands moved as one formation from the Ryukyus to Basilan in the same fortnight that Keen Sword put Japanese anti-ship missiles and American launchers on Yonaguni, 110 kilometers from Taiwan. Each capital published its own count, and the counts measure pressure at home more than ships at sea.ChinaTaiwanJapanPhilippinesUnited StatesTaiwan StraitDeterrence https://sagire.online/wire/64873ab8/https://sagire.online/wire/64873ab8/Sat, 31 Oct 2026 13:22:00 -0300Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei ordered commanders to update the country’s target list to include “all types of tangible and intangible assets belonging to the American-Zionist enemy”, according to France 24. At the meeting with top military commanders, he said that “any level or type of threat must be met with an immediate, impactful and geographically unrestricted response.” US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said at a G20 press conference in Atlanta, Georgia, that Trump has not yet decided on new attacks: “We can achieve military objectives if we seek to. He hasn’t made a decision. I have no announcement in that regard with you today, and nor do we take any of it lightly.” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that “currently, there are no plans for meetings with American officials.”IranUnited StatesIsraelDeterrenceMiddle EastDiplomacy